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The Rest of the Story

C. Three

The Rest of the Story

Fortunately, there is a simple way to evaluate this hypothesis, at least on a preliminary basis, prior to waiting for the results of longitudinal studies. Enough youth are experimenting with electronic cigarettes, and the increase in youth e-cigarette use has been dramatic and sustained enough, that if the gateway hypothesis were correct, we would be starting to see an increase in smoking prevalence among youth due to the many new smoking initiates that were converted from e-cigarette experimentation to smoking.

The study concludes that "e-cigarette use is aggravating rather than ameliorating the tobacco epidemic among youths."

Some of the researchers and advocates who opposed our crowdfunding campaign to raise money for a randomized behavioral study of the effects of electronic cigarettes on smoking behavior argued that randomized clinical trials (RCTs) are simply not appropriate to study e-cigarettes because they cannot simulate the real-life situation, where smokers have many choices of different types of products, can engage with social networks, and can experiment over time, change products, advance from one type of product to another, etc.


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