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The study involves a survey of 949 adult smokers who were interviewed at baseline in 2011 and followed up one year later. Of these smokers, at baseline, 88 had tried electronic cigarettes in the past month (that is, they had used electronic cigarettes at least once).

Furthermore, later in the paper they reinforce this point more specifically, writing: "the cross-sectional nature of our study does not allow us to identify whether most youths are initiating smoking with conventional cigarettes and then moving on to (usually dual use of) e-cigarettes or vice versa...".

The Rest of the Story

I conclude as follows: "By promoting a message that flies in the face of the government's own statistics--which show a sharp decline in youth smoking concurrent with a dramatic increase in e-cigarette experimentation--some federal public health official appear to be trying to create a "gateway" narrative where none exists."


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